Home Bancshares Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 01, 2025 Gain 1.33%

The Home BancShares stock price gained 0.236% on the last trading day (Thursday, 10th Jul 2025), rising from $29.68 to $29.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.08% from a day low at $29.65 to a day high of $29.97. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 477 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 947 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $28.18 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $29.94 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $29.17 and $32.08 at the end of this 3-month period.

HOMB Signals & Forecast

The Home BancShares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $29.61 and $28.50. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 03, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.201%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Home BancShares stock

Home BancShares finds support from accumulated volume at $28.56 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.320 between high and low, or 1.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.61%.

The Home BancShares stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $28.71 (-3.48%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (HOMB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 11th we expect Home BancShares to open at $29.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $29.22 and $30.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.533 (+/-0%) up or down from last closing price. If Home BancShares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $29.81 (0.20%) than the support at $28.56 (4.00%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Home BancShares stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Home BancShares stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.871 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 11, 2025 - $29.79 ( 0.134%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*