Hovnanian Enterprises Inc Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock price after Thursday trading.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock price fell by -1.51% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $148.71 to $146.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.27% from a day low at $140.47 to a day high of $146.47. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 thousand shares and in total, 46 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.71 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $150.85 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $105.88 and $127.00 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HOV Signals & Forecast
The Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $138.87 and $144.38. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 13.98%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $145.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $6.00 between high and low, or 4.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.57%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $140.44 (-4.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HOV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Hovnanian Enterprises Inc to open at $144.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $138.19 and $154.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.28 (+/-5.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Hovnanian Enterprises Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $145.31 (0.79%) than the resistance at $156.94 (7.15%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.474 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $144.47 ( 1.37%) | $146.47 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HOV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 150.47 | 2.73 % | |
| R2 | 148.18 | 1.17 % | ||
| R1 | 146.76 | 0.199 % | ||
| Current price: | 146.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 142.18 | -2.93 % | |
| S2 | 140.76 | -3.90 % | ||
| S3 | 138.47 | -5.46 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 174.07 | 18.84 % | |
| R2 | 158.08 | 7.93 % | ||
| R1 | 156.94 | 7.15 % | ||
| Current price | 146.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 145.31 | -0.792% | |
| S2 | 143.33 | -2.14% | ||
| S3 | 134.05 | -8.48% |
FAQ
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