- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 3.41)
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.51)
- Highly efficient cash conversion (207% FCF/OCF ratio)
LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session
(Updated on Jul 09, 2026)
The LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock price gained 3.54% on the last trading day (Thursday, 9th Jul 2026), rising from $300.82 to $311.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.28% from a day low at $299.00 to a day high of $314.78. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 62 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 681 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $212.08 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $218.31 and $275.24 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
LPLA Signals & Forecast
The LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $299.25 and $287.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 28, 2026, and so far it has risen 17.16%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $287.82 and $282.67. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. finds support just below today's level at $287.82. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $282.67 and $268.75.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $15.78 between high and low, or 5.28%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.12%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $299.26 (-3.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LPLA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect LPL Financial Holdings Inc. to open at $308.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $306.02 and $316.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$10.90 (+/-3.56%) up or down from last closing price. If LPL Financial Holdings Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $312.57 (0.35%) than the support at $287.82 (7.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
3.008
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 10, 2026 - $308.42 ( 0.98%).
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LPLA Performance
Trading levels for LPLA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 324.20 | 4.09% |
| R2 | 318.17 | 2.15% |
| R1 | 314.44 | 0.96% |
| Price | 311.47 | |
| S1 | 302.39 | -2.92% |
| S2 | 298.66 | -4.11% |
| S3 | 292.64 | -6.05% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 318.63 | 2.30% |
| R2 | 317.41 | 1.91% |
| R1 | 312.57 | 0.353% |
| Price | 311.47 | |
| S1 | 287.82 | -7.59% |
| S2 | 282.67 | -9.25% |
| S3 | 268.75 | -13.72% |
LPLA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 21, 2026 | May 21, 2026 | Jun 04, 2026 | $0.300 | 0.0942% |
| 2 | Jan 29, 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | Mar 24, 2026 | $0.300 | 0.0797% |
| 3 | Oct 30, 2025 | Nov 13, 2025 | Dec 01, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.0801% |
| 4 | Jul 31, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.0801% |
| 5 | May 08, 2025 | May 30, 2025 | Jun 12, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.0781% |
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