- Beat earnings estimates in all of the last 4 quarters
- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 8/9)
- Strong operating margin of 44.2%
Evaluation of Moody's Corporation stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 16, 2026)
The Moody's Corporation stock price gained 2.89% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $504.46 to $519.02. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.14% from a day low at $508.16 to a day high of $519.02. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.86% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 12 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 600 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $311.56 million.
The stock has broken the weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $479.22, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner.
MCO Signals & Forecast
The Moody's Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $496.19 and $464.35. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 18.27%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Moody's Corporation stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $459.59 and $450.67. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Moody's Corporation finds support just below today's level at $459.59. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $450.67 and $448.39.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $10.86 between high and low, or 2.14%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.38%.
The Moody's Corporation stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (85). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: $501.89 (-3.30%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 85 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect Moody's Corporation to open at $515.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $512.19 and $525.85, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$13.66 (+/-2.67%) up or down from last closing price. If Moody's Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $459.59, some $59.43 (11.45%) from the current price of $519.02, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Earnings coming up
Moody's Corporation will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $4.23. We will update the financials statements for Moody's Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.43% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Moody's Corporation stock A Buy?
Moody's Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.000
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $515.40 ( 0.697%).
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MCO Performance
Trading levels for MCO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 526.26 | 1.39% |
| R2 | 522.11 | 0.596% |
| R1 | 519.55 | 0.102% |
| Price | 519.02 | |
| S1 | 511.25 | -1.50% |
| S2 | 508.69 | -1.99% |
| S3 | 504.54 | -2.79% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 0 | - |
| Price | 519.02 | |
| S1 | 459.59 | -11.45% |
| S2 | 450.67 | -13.17% |
| S3 | 448.39 | -13.61% |
MCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 15, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | Jun 05, 2026 | $1.03 | 0.228% |
| 2 | Mar 02, 2026 | Mar 02, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | $1.03 | 0.229% |
| 3 | Nov 21, 2025 | Nov 21, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | $0.94 | 0.192% |
| 4 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Sep 05, 2025 | $0.94 | 0.183% |
| 5 | May 16, 2025 | May 16, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | $0.94 | 0.193% |
FAQ
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