Moody's Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Aug 06, 2026 Gain 1.06%

The Moody's Corporation stock price gained 0.0816% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $477.75 to $478.14. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at $475.70 to a day high of $481.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.61% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -216 thousand shares and in total, 480 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $229.68 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $467.68 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $524.19 and $599.46 at the end of this 3-month period.

MCO Signals & Forecast

Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Moody's Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $479.77 and $480.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -7.88%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Moody's Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $453.25 and $450.67. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Moody's Corporation finds support just below today's level at $453.25. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $450.67 and $450.01.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.30 between high and low, or 1.11%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.94%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Moody's Corporation to open at $478.28, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $472.09 and $484.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.11 (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Moody's Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $489.70 (2.42%) than the support at $453.25 (5.21%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For MCO

Dividend warning for MCO: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 2 days on Friday 14th August, 2026. The dividend to be paid is $1.03, which is a small dividend (0.215%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.215% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Moody's Corporation stock A Buy?

The Moody's Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Moody's Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.397 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $478.28 ( 0.0293%).

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