DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES ETF Forecast
Big movements in DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES ETF price on Tuesday moving 10.12% between high and low
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES ETF price gained 8.09% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $104.68 to $113.15. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 10.12% from a day low at $103.29 to a day high of $113.74. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -16.04% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 119 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 301 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $34.05 million.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $102.78 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 16.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $119.63 and $183.41 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NAIL Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $127.50. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $106.73. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES ETF
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $107.31 and $105.29. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES finds support just below today's level at $107.31. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $105.29 and $94.72.
This ETF may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $10.46 between high and low, or 10.12%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 7.16%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $108.22 (-4.36%) (This ETF has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NAIL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X SHARES to open at $110.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $105.12 and $121.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.03 (+/-7.10%) up or down from last closing price. If DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $116.02 (2.54%) than the support at $107.31 (5.16%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X SHARES ETF A Buy?
DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.179 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X SHARES of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$110.06 ( 2.73%) | $113.15 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NAIL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 120.51 | 6.51 % | |
R2 | 116.52 | 2.98 % | ||
R1 | 114.05 | 0.797 % | ||
Current price: | 113.15 | |||
Support | S1 | 106.06 | -6.26 % | |
S2 | 103.60 | -8.44 % | ||
S3 | 99.60 | -11.97 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 132.20 | 16.84 % | |
R2 | 121.47 | 7.35 % | ||
R1 | 116.02 | 2.54 % | ||
Current price | 113.15 | |||
Support | S1 | 107.31 | -5.16% | |
S2 | 105.29 | -6.95% | ||
S3 | 94.72 | -16.29% |
NAIL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 18, 2024 | Mar 19, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.168 | 0.120% |
2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.0360 | 0.0332% |
3 | Mar 23, 2023 | Sep 19, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.0360 | 0.0670% |
4 | Mar 23, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.0130 | 0.0176% |
5 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.152 | 0.374% |
FAQ
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