Northern Oil and Gas Stock Forecast
Northern Oil and Gas stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Northern Oil and Gas stock price gained 1.09% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $42.04 to $42.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.25% from a day low at $41.56 to a day high of $42.91. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.46% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -50 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $48.58 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 33.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.55 and $57.90 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NOG Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.608%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The Northern Oil and Gas stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $42.48 and $39.45. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Northern Oil and Gas stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $35.56 and $34.59. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Northern Oil and Gas finds support just below today's level at $35.56. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $34.59 and $32.15.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.35 between high and low, or 3.25%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.51%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $41.15 (-3.19%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NOG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Northern Oil and Gas, Inc to open at $42.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.61 and $43.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.89 (+/-2.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Northern Oil and Gas, Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $42.53 (0.07%) than the support at $35.56 (16.33%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Northern Oil and Gas, Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Northern Oil and Gas stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.749 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $42.32 ( 0.416%) | $42.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NOG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 43.67 | 2.76 % | |
| R2 | 43.16 | 1.55 % | ||
| R1 | 42.84 | 0.798 % | ||
| Current price: | 42.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 41.81 | -1.63 % | |
| S2 | 41.49 | -2.38 % | ||
| S3 | 40.97 | -3.59 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 42.76 | 0.612 % | |
| R2 | 42.64 | 0.329 % | ||
| R1 | 42.53 | 0.0706 % | ||
| Current price | 42.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 35.56 | -16.33% | |
| S2 | 34.59 | -18.61% | ||
| S3 | 32.15 | -24.35% |
NOG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.400 | 0.94% |
| 2 | Oct 30, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.400 | 1.19% |
| 3 | Aug 01, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | Oct 31, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.99% |
| 4 | May 01, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | Jul 31, 2023 | $0.370 | 0.94% |
| 5 | Feb 06, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | $0.340 | 1.03% |
FAQ
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