Nvidia Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Aug 03, 2026 Gain 5.28%

The NVIDIA stock price decreased by -2.86% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), dropping from $223.96 to $217.55. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.40%, with a day low of $216.77 and a day high of $224.14. The price has increased in 7 of the last 10 days and has risen by 10.71% over the past 2 weeks. Volume surged on the last day by 3 million shares, despite the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating a slight increase in risk over the next couple of days. In total, 108 million shares were traded, amounting to approximately $23.50 billion.

The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $223.70 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.64% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $175.48 and $208.85 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

NVDA Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, August 07, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The NVIDIA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $214.15 and $204.22. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock

NVIDIA finds support from accumulated volume at $211.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.37 between high and low, or 3.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.58%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $208.96 (-3.95%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $219.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $213.74 and $221.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.63 (+/-3.57%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $219.51 (0.90%) than the support at $211.14 (2.95%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?

NVIDIA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.537 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $219.49 ( 0.89%).

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