NVIDIA Stock Forecast
High volatility in NVIDIA stock price on Friday which ended trading at $762.00
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The NVIDIA stock price fell by -10.00% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $846.71 to $762.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.53% from a day low at $756.06 to a day high of $843.24. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -13.42% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 42 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 86 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $65.87 billion.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 41.90% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,081.25 and $1,474.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NVDA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NVIDIA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $853.03 and $882.34. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -19.79%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $694.52 and $693.32. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NVIDIA finds support just below today's level at $694.52. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $693.32 and $682.23.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $87.18 between high and low, or 11.53%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.94%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $787.10, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $722.14 and $801.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$39.86 (+/-5.23%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $785.38 (3.07%) than the support at $694.52 (8.86%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?
The NVIDIA stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe NVIDIA will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.543 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for NVIDIA Corporation of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$787.10 ( 3.29%) | $762.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NVDA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 874.28 | 14.73 % | |
R2 | 840.98 | 10.36 % | ||
R1 | 820.40 | 7.66 % | ||
Current price: | 762.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 753.80 | -1.08 % | |
S2 | 733.22 | -3.78 % | ||
S3 | 699.92 | -8.15 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 875.28 | 14.87 % | |
R2 | 788.17 | 3.43 % | ||
R1 | 785.38 | 3.07 % | ||
Current price | 762.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 694.52 | -8.86% | |
S2 | 693.32 | -9.01% | ||
S3 | 682.23 | -10.47% |
NVDA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 21, 2024 | Mar 05, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.0400 | 0.0044% |
2 | Nov 21, 2023 | Dec 05, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.0400 | 0.0081% |
3 | Aug 23, 2023 | Sep 06, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | $0.0400 | 0.0093% |
4 | May 24, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.0400 | 0.0095% |
5 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 07, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.0400 | 0.0148% |
FAQ
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