- +102.1% price growth over the last year
- High gross margin of 72.2%
- Consistently positive technical signals over the last month
Weaker technical forecast for The Realreal Inc as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 16, 2026)
The The Realreal Inc stock price gained 1.24% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $11.26 to $11.40. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.80% from a day low at $11.15 to a day high of $11.69. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -6.56% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -772 thousand shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $43.11 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect The Realreal Inc stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $8.62 and $12.58 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
REAL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has fallen -11.35%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The The Realreal Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $10.83 and $10.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Realreal Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $10.26 and $9.35. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, The Realreal Inc finds support just below today's level at $10.26. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $9.35 and $9.12.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.535 between high and low, or 4.80%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.06%.
Since the The Realreal Inc has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. As we cannot be certain with regards to the size of the reaction, we urge caution.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.84 (-4.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (REAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect The Realreal Inc to open at $11.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.08 and $11.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.639 (+/-5.77%) up or down from last closing price. If The Realreal Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.21 (7.11%) than the support at $10.26 (10.00%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is The Realreal Inc stock A Buy?
The Realreal Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.520
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $11.41 ( 0.102%).
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REAL Performance
Trading levels for REAL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.95 | 4.80% |
| R2 | 11.74 | 3.00% |
| R1 | 11.62 | 1.90% |
| Price | 11.40 | |
| S1 | 11.21 | -1.69% |
| S2 | 11.08 | -2.80% |
| S3 | 10.88 | -4.59% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.85 | 12.72% |
| R2 | 12.40 | 8.77% |
| R1 | 12.21 | 7.11% |
| Price | 11.40 | |
| S1 | 10.26 | -10.00% |
| S2 | 9.35 | -17.98% |
| S3 | 9.12 | -20.00% |
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