Shoe Carnival Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 31, 2026

The Shoe Carnival stock price fell by -1.68% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $15.46 to $15.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.24% from a day low at $15.16 to a day high of $15.50. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.97% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 40 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 74 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.12 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.98 and $13.63 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

SCVL Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 23, 2026, and so far it has risen 6.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Shoe Carnival stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $15.39. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $15.13. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Shoe Carnival gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shoe Carnival stock

Shoe Carnival finds support from accumulated volume at $14.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.340 between high and low, or 2.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.58%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SCVL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Shoe Carnival to open at $15.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.88 and $15.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.642 (+/-4.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Shoe Carnival takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.76 (2.89%) than the resistance at $15.98 (5.13%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Shoe Carnival stock A Buy?

Shoe Carnival holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.060 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $15.29 ( 0.570%).

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