SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF Forecast
Evaluation of SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF price gained 1.21% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $61.20 to $61.94. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.03% from a day low at $61.40 to a day high of $62.04. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.7% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -284 thousand shares and in total, 362 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.42 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $63.69 and $68.07 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SPTM Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $62.92. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $61.38. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.06%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF
SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET finds support from accumulated volume at $61.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.635 between high and low, or 1.03%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SPTM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF to open at $61.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $61.22 and $62.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.718 (+/-1.16%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $61.99 (0.08%) than the support at $61.20 (1.19%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF ETF A Buy?
SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.175 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) PORTFOLIO TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$61.79 ( 0.239%) | $61.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SPTM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 62.43 | 0.786 % | |
R2 | 62.18 | 0.394 % | ||
R1 | 62.03 | 0.152 % | ||
Current price: | 61.94 | |||
Support | S1 | 61.55 | -0.631 % | |
S2 | 61.40 | -0.87 % | ||
S3 | 61.16 | -1.26 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 63.06 | 1.81 % | |
R2 | 62.08 | 0.226 % | ||
R1 | 61.99 | 0.0807 % | ||
Current price | 61.94 | |||
Support | S1 | 61.20 | -1.19% | |
S2 | 60.93 | -1.63% | ||
S3 | 59.48 | -3.97% |
SPTM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.207 | 0.323% |
2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.231 | 0.398% |
3 | Jan 17, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.206 | 0.389% |
4 | Jan 17, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.213 | 0.401% |
5 | Jan 17, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.189 | 0.390% |
FAQ
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