Scholar Rock Holding Corp. Stock Forecast
A very red day for Scholar Rock Holding Corp. stock price after a -6.15% fall in the Tuesday trading session
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Scholar Rock Holding Corp. stock price fell by -6.15% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $8.13 to $7.63. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.46% from a day low at $7.58 to a day high of $8.07. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -13.1% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -175 thousand shares and in total, 514 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.92 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -43.84% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.50 and $5.78 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SRRK Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Scholar Rock Holding Corp. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $8.11 and $10.03. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.73%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Scholar Rock Holding Corp. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.490 between high and low, or 6.46%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.11%.
Scholar Rock Holding Corp. is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SRRK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Scholar Rock Holding Corp. to open at $7.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.95 and $8.31, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.677 (+/-8.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Scholar Rock Holding Corp. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 17.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $8.33, some $0.700 (9.17%) from the current price of $7.63, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Scholar Rock Holding Corp. stock A Buy?
Scholar Rock Holding Corp. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.547 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Scholar Rock Holding Corp. of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $7.76 ( 1.70%) | $7.63 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SRRK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 8.25 | 8.13% |
| R2 | 8.06 | 5.67% |
| R1 | 7.95 | 4.16% |
| Price | 7.63 | |
| S1 | 7.57 | -0.749% |
| S2 | 7.46 | -2.27% |
| S3 | 7.27 | -4.72% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 9.39 | 23.07% |
| R2 | 8.45 | 10.75% |
| R1 | 8.33 | 9.17% |
| Price | 7.63 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
FAQ
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