Transalta Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 27, 2026 Loss -7.06%

The TransAlta Corporation stock price fell by -2.80% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $12.86 to $12.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.17% from a day low at $12.48 to a day high of $13.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -5.73% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 674 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $24.06 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $12.45 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.89% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.06 and $15.65 at the end of this 3-month period.

TAC Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.563%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The TransAlta Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.12 and $13.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TransAlta Corporation stock

TransAlta Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $12.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.520 between high and low, or 4.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.79%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TAC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect TransAlta Corporation to open at $12.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.27 and $12.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.466 (+/-3.80%) up or down from last closing price. If TransAlta Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $12.46 (0.32%) than the resistance at $12.86 (2.88%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For TAC

Dividend coming up for TAC: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 1st September, 2026) is 29 days away. The dividend is $0.0500.

Is TransAlta Corporation stock A Buy?

The TransAlta Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe TransAlta Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.810 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $12.66 ( 1.28%).

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