Tal Education Group Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 01, 2026 Gain 2.40%

The Tal Education Group stock price gained 0.196% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026), rising from $10.22 to $10.24. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.75% from a day low at $10.01 to a day high of $10.28. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.38% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $44.93 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $10.45 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.19 and $8.85 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TAL Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Tal Education Group stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $10.31. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $9.70. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 14.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tal Education Group stock

Tal Education Group finds support from accumulated volume at $9.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.275 between high and low, or 2.75%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.05%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.82 (-4.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 15 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Tal Education Group to open at $10.18, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.07 and $10.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.330 (+/-3.28%) up or down from last closing price. If Tal Education Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.71 (4.59%) than the support at $9.77 (4.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tal Education Group stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.042 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $10.18 ( 0.635%).

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