Tal Education Group Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 29, 2026 Gain 14.78%

The Tal Education Group stock price gained 0.97% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $12.38 to $12.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.58% from a day low at $12.15 to a day high of $12.58. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 18.37% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $56.74 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $12.64 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.91 and $14.26 at the end of this 3-month period.

TAL Signals & Forecast

The Tal Education Group stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $12.29 and $10.55. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 31, 2026, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tal Education Group stock

Tal Education Group finds support from accumulated volume at $12.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.435 between high and low, or 3.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.64%.

The Tal Education Group stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $12.08 (-3.40%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Tal Education Group to open at $12.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.28 and $12.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.440 (+/-3.58%) up or down from last closing price. If Tal Education Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $12.34, some $0.160 (1.28%) from the current price of $12.50, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Tal Education Group stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Tal Education Group stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.414 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $12.41 ( 0.733%).

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