US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Mar 17, 2025 Gain 0.04%

The US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF price gained 0.0200% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 19th Mar 2025), rising from $49.94 to $49.95. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that ETF manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0401% from a day low at $49.93 to a day high of $49.95. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.2% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $173.35 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $49.79 and $50.00 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

TBIL Signals & Forecast

The US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $49.92 and $49.93. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 03, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.201%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 12, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, March 17, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF

US Treasury 3 Month Bill finds support from accumulated volume at $49.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0200 between high and low, or 0.0401%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0240%.

Since the US Treasury 3 Month Bill has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the ETF is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: $46.24 (-7.43%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TBIL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 20th we expect US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF to open at $49.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.93 and $49.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0215 (+/-0.04%) up or down from last closing price. If US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $49.92 (0.06%) than the resistance at $49.99 (0.08%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF to perform well in the short-term period.

Current score: 1.697 Buy Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on March 20, 2025 - $49.94 ( 0.0133%).