- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.00)
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Pays a regular dividend of $0.15 per share
Weaker technical forecast for US Treasury 3 Month Bill as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 23, 2026)
No changes to the price of US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF on the last trading day (Thursday, 23rd Jul 2026). During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0200% from a day low at $49.97 to a day high of $49.98. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.12% gain for the last 2 weeks.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $49.89 and $50.05 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
TBIL Signals & Forecast
The US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $49.96 and $49.93. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The volume rose on the last day while price remained unchanged. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, July 08, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, June 15, 2026.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, July 08, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, June 15, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, July 08, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, June 15, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF
US Treasury 3 Month Bill finds support from accumulated volume at $49.96 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0100 between high and low, or 0.0200%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0200%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $47.47 (-5.00%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (TBIL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 24th we expect US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF to open at $49.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.96 and $49.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0167 (+/-0.03%) up or down from last closing price. If US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $49.98 (0.02%) than the support at $49.96 (0.02%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF ETF A Buy?
US Treasury 3 Month Bill holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.490
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 24, 2026 - $49.97 ( 0.0067%).
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TBIL Performance
Trading levels for TBIL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 49.98 | 0.0267% |
| R2 | 49.98 | 0.0190% |
| R1 | 49.98 | 0.0143% |
| Price | 49.97 | |
| S1 | 49.97 | -0.0010% |
| S2 | 49.97 | -0.0057% |
| S3 | 49.96 | -0.0133% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 50.00 | 0.0600% |
| R2 | 49.99 | 0.0400% |
| R1 | 49.98 | 0.0200% |
| Price | 49.97 | |
| S1 | 49.96 | -0.0200% |
| S2 | 49.91 | -0.120% |
| S3 | 49.85 | -0.240% |
TBIL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 26, 2026 | Jun 29, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.147 | 0.295% |
| 2 | May 28, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | May 29, 2026 | $0.147 | 0.295% |
| 3 | Apr 28, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | $0.147 | 0.295% |
| 4 | Mar 27, 2026 | Mar 30, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.150 | 0.301% |
| 5 | Feb 25, 2026 | Feb 26, 2026 | Feb 27, 2026 | $0.150 | 0.301% |
FAQ
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Buy TBIL
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 with a target of $49.97. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the ETF may continue to fall.