US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF Forecast

US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF price ended at $49.91 on Friday, after gaining 0.0200%.
(Updated on May 10, 2024)

TBIL Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $49.93. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $49.88. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, May 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.161%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

Buy

Special Signal Notification

Double Bottom Formation

A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Wednesday, May 01, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.0500% to $49.93 within 22 trading days since signal was issued (Monday, May 13, 2024).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF

US Treasury 3 Month Bill finds support from accumulated volume at $49.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0100 between high and low, or 0.0200%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0241%.

Since the US Treasury 3 Month Bill has been rising for 7 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TBIL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF to open at $49.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.88 and $49.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0257 (+/-0.05%) up or down from last closing price. If US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $49.89 (0.04%) than the resistance at $49.93 (0.04%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF ETF A Buy?

US Treasury 3 Month Bill holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.377 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF of Monday, May 13, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.