Texas Capital Bancshares Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Gain 0.11%

The Texas Capital Bancshares stock price gained 0.111% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $98.74 to $98.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.94% from a day low at $97.91 to a day high of $99.81. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -5.92% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -34 thousand shares and in total, 340 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $33.58 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $98.65 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $102.18 and $112.30 at the end of this 3-month period.

TCBI Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Texas Capital Bancshares stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $101.86. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $98.72. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 27, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.457%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, November 20, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Texas Capital Bancshares stock

Texas Capital Bancshares finds support from accumulated volume at $98.67 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.90 between high and low, or 1.94%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.55%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $93.38 (-5.53%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TCBI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Texas Capital Bancshares to open at $98.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $97.69 and $100.01, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.32 (+/-2.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Texas Capital Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $98.67 (0.18%) than the resistance at $99.07 (0.22%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For TCBI

Dividend coming up for TCBI: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 1st September, 2026) is 29 days away. The dividend is $0.200.

Is Texas Capital Bancshares stock A Buy?

Texas Capital Bancshares holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.697 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $98.86 ( 0.0064%).

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