Texas Pacific Land Trust Stock Forecast
Texas Pacific Land Trust stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Texas Pacific Land Trust stock price gained 0.511% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $589.01 to $592.02. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.25% from a day low at $579.53 to a day high of $598.34. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.58% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -3 thousand shares and in total, 46 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $27.32 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -46.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $127.11 and $703.93 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TPL Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.66%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Texas Pacific Land Trust stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $1,006.81. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $586.37. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Texas Pacific Land Trust stock
Texas Pacific Land Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $583.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $18.81 between high and low, or 3.25%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $559.97 (-5.41%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TPL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Texas Pacific Land Trust to open at $589.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $552.27 and $631.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$39.75 (+/-6.71%) up or down from last closing price. If Texas Pacific Land Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $594.22 (0.37%) than the support at $583.91 (1.37%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Texas Pacific Land Trust stock A Buy?
Texas Pacific Land Trust holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.345 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Texas Pacific Land Trust of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$589.96 ( 0.347%) | $592.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TPL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 608.77 | 2.83 % | |
R2 | 601.59 | 1.62 % | ||
R1 | 597.15 | 0.87 % | ||
Current price: | 592.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 582.78 | -1.56 % | |
S2 | 578.34 | -2.31 % | ||
S3 | 571.15 | -3.52 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 601.52 | 1.60 % | |
R2 | 597.16 | 0.87 % | ||
R1 | 594.22 | 0.372 % | ||
Current price | 592.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 583.91 | -1.37% | |
S2 | 578.51 | -2.28% | ||
S3 | 575.66 | -2.76% |
TPL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 13, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $3.50 | 0.630% |
2 | Oct 31, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $3.25 | 0.610% |
3 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $3.25 | 0.551% |
4 | May 02, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $3.25 | 0.551% |
5 | Feb 13, 2023 | Mar 07, 2023 | Mar 15, 2023 | $3.25 | 0.612% |
FAQ
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