Texas Pacific Land Trust Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Aug 10, 2026

The Texas Pacific Land Trust stock price gained 2.87% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $340.65 to $350.44. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.74% from a day low at $340.91 to a day high of $353.67. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.64% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -19 thousand shares and in total, 473 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $165.65 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock is at the lower part of a very wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $340.73 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Texas Pacific Land Trust stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $344.63 and $444.92 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

TPL Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 07, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Texas Pacific Land Trust stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $376.12 and $398.27. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Texas Pacific Land Trust stock

Texas Pacific Land Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $340.65 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $12.76 between high and low, or 3.74%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.47%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $333.38 (-4.87%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (TPL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Texas Pacific Land Trust to open at $348.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $341.20 and $359.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$18.48 (+/-5.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Texas Pacific Land Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $355.11 (1.33%) than the support at $340.65 (2.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For TPL

Dividend coming up for TPL: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 1st September, 2026) is 21 days away. The dividend is $0.600.

Is Texas Pacific Land Trust stock A Buy?

Texas Pacific Land Trust holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.703 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $348.34 ( 0.599%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk