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Taiwan Semiconductor stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 20, 2025)

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 03, 2025 Gain 6.02%

The Taiwan Semiconductor stock price fell by -1.87% on the last day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025) from $213.50 to $209.51. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.53% from a day low at $208.15 to a day high of $215.50. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.03% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.93 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 38.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $263.81 and $302.88 at the end of this 3-month period.

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TSM Signals & Forecast

The Taiwan Semiconductor stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $213.32. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $195.95. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Taiwan Semiconductor stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $172.72 and $158.75. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Taiwan Semiconductor finds support just below today's level at $172.72. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $158.75 and $157.38.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.35 between high and low, or 3.53%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.97%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $202.11 (-3.53%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TSM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd to open at $211.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $204.52 and $214.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.99 (+/-2.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $211.10 (0.76%) than the support at $172.72 (17.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd stock A Buy?

Taiwan Semiconductor holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.255 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $211.05 ( 0.736%).

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TSM Performance

Trading levels for TSM

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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 218.40 4.24%
R2 215.59 2.90%
R1 213.86 2.08%
Price 209.51
S1 208.25 -0.603%
S2 206.51 -1.43%
S3 203.70 -2.77%

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 214.10 2.19%
R2 212.46 1.41%
R1 211.10 0.759%
Price 209.51
S1 172.72 -17.56%
S2 158.75 -24.23%
S3 157.38 -24.88%

TSM Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Sep 16, 2025 Sep 16, 2025 Oct 09, 2025 $0.650 0.336%
2 Jun 12, 2025 Jun 12, 2025 Jul 10, 2025 $0.542 0.280%
3 Nov 12, 2024 Mar 18, 2025 Apr 10, 2025 $0.550 0.364%
4 Dec 12, 2024 Dec 12, 2024 Jan 09, 2025 $0.487 0.235%
5 Sep 12, 2024 Sep 12, 2024 Oct 09, 2024 $0.487 0.260%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Taiwan Semiconductor Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Taiwan Semiconductor is TSM and it is traded on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?
Taiwan Semiconductor holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?
Taiwan Semiconductor Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Taiwan Semiconductor Stock.

What's the current price of Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?
As of the end of day on the Jun 20, 2025, the price of an Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) share was $209.51.

What is the 52-week high and low for Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?
The 52-week high for Taiwan Semiconductor Stock is $226.40 and the 52-week low is $133.57.

What is the market capitalization of Taiwan Semiconductor Stock?
As of the Jun 20, 2025, the market capitalization of Taiwan Semiconductor is 1.107T.

When is the next earnings date for Taiwan Semiconductor?
The upcoming earnings date for Taiwan Semiconductor is Jul 17, 2025.
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ABOUT TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING COMPANY LTD
Taiwan Semiconductor
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes to manufacture logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, and embedded memory semiconductors. The company also offers customer support, acc...
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