Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF Forecast

Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF price ended at $57.68 on Wednesday, after gaining 0.0868%.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)

VGSH Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.174%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $57.91. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $57.67. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Government finds support from accumulated volume at $57.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0550 between high and low, or 0.0954%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.102%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $54.02 (-6.35%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VGSH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF to open at $57.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $57.59 and $57.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0873 (+/-0.15%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $57.63 (0.09%) than the resistance at $58.00 (0.55%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Short-Term Government holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.289 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Short-Term Government ETF of Thursday, April 18, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.