Valero Energy Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 24, 2026 Gain 29.91%

The Valero Energy stock price gained 5.58% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $298.31 to $314.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.82% from a day low at $301.35 to a day high of $315.88. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $771.13 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 30.19% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $364.26 and $432.49 at the end of this 3-month period.

VLO Signals & Forecast

The Valero Energy stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $306.83 and $288.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 07, 2026, and so far it has risen 5.58%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Valero Energy stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $292.66 and $259.37. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Valero Energy finds support just below today's level at $292.66. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $259.37 and $236.30.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $14.53 (4.82%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.12%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $303.93 (-3.50%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (VLO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Valero Energy Corporation to open at $310.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $309.10 and $320.80, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$11.70 (+/-3.79%) up or down from last closing price. If Valero Energy Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $292.66, some $22.29 (7.08%) from the current price of $314.95, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Valero Energy Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Valero Energy stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.491 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $310.72 ( 1.34%).

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