The Technology Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 13, 2026

The THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price decreased by -2.42% on the most recent trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), dropping from $185.78 to $181.28. Throughout that day, the ETF experienced fluctuations of 1.85%, with a low of $180.54 and a high of $183.89. The price has increased on 6 out of the last 10 days and has risen by 0.22% over the past two weeks. The volume surged on the last day by 2 million shares, despite the declining prices. This could serve as an early warning sign, slightly increasing the risk over the next few days. In total, 9 million shares were traded, amounting to approximately $1.56 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 19.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $217.32 and $256.44 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLK Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $182.45 and $185.68. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.54%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF

THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $180.82 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.35 (1.85%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.02%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (XLK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $181.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $178.47 and $184.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.62 (+/-3.15%) up or down from last closing price. If THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.15% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $180.82 (0.25%) than the resistance at $183.21 (1.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

The THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe THE TECHNOLOGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.626 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $181.90 ( 0.343%).

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