The Utilities Select Sector Spdr Fund The Utilities Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 18, 2026 Gain 2.82%

The THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price fell by -0.390% on the last day (Monday, 29th Jun 2026) from $46.20 to $46.02. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.18% from a day low at $45.77 to a day high of $46.31. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.35% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 18 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 18 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $839.38 million.

The ETF lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $46.17 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -4.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $40.65 and $44.19 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

XLU Signals & Forecast

The THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $45.45 and $44.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.390%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF

THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $45.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.540 between high and low, or 1.18%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.25%.

The THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $44.85 (-2.55%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLU) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $46.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $45.69 and $46.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.662 (+/-1.45%) up or down from last closing price. If THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $46.11 (0.20%) than the support at $45.89 (0.28%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

THE UTILITIES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.858 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 30, 2026 - $46.03 ( 0.0290%).

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