YPF SA (ADR) Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since May 09, 2025

The YPF SA (ADR) stock price gained 6.03% on the last trading day (Friday, 9th May 2025), rising from $30.84 to $32.70. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.76% from a day low at $31.30 to a day high of $32.79. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.19% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $137.02 million.

The stockhas broken the very wide and falling short-term trend up. Firstly a slower falling rate is indicated, but this may very well be an early signal of a trend shift. On the reaction, there will be support on the roof of the current trend broken, which is $31.07, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $37.50 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

YPF Signals & Forecast

The YPF SA (ADR) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $30.06 and $32.24. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for YPF SA (ADR) stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $30.00 and $29.59. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, YPF SA (ADR) finds support just below today's level at $30.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $29.59 and $28.49.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.49 between high and low, or 4.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.08%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $31.40 (-3.97%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (YPF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 12th we expect YPF SA (ADR) to open at $32.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.95 and $34.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.75 (+/-5.36%) up or down from last closing price. If YPF SA (ADR) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $33.13 (1.31%) than the support at $30.00 (8.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is YPF SA (ADR) stock A Buy?

YPF SA (ADR) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.747 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 12, 2025 - $32.26 ( 1.34%).