Friday January 17, 2020 Change 0.00% Price $166.17
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Bullish vs. Bearish (4 opinions)
Social Sentiment 0.21

MSFT Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Buy candidate since 2019-12-04 Gain 10.89% PDF

No changes to the price of Microsoft Corporation in the last trading day ( Friday, 17th Jan 2020 ). During the day the stock fluctuated 0.00% from a day low at $166.17 to a day high of $166.17. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.76% over the past 2 weeks.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the MSFT stock price was $166.24 and low was $153.75.
  • 90 day high was $166.24 and low was $135.61.
  • 52 week high for Microsoft Corporation - $166.24 and low - $102.17.
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Microsoft Corporation lies in the upper part of a narrow and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $166.56 will firstly indicate a stronger raising rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.16% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $188.31 and $195.15 at the end of this period.

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Microsoft Corporation holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $163.48 and $156.62. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday January 16, 2020, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 30 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 67 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $157.41 and $144.19.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft Corporation finds support just below today's level at $157.41. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $144.19 and $139.94.

Support: $157.41 Price: $166.17


This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.00 between high and low, or 0.00%. For the last week the stock has had a daily average volatility of 0.92%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $160.09 (-3.66%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 day(s) ago.)

0.92 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Downgraded


Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Buy Candidate to a Buy Candidate candidate.

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