MSFT Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Hold candidate since 2019-07-17

Microsoft Corporation fell by -0.59% in the last day ( Wednesday, 17th Jul 2019 ) from $137.08 to $136.27 and has now fallen 3 days in a row. During day the stock fluctuated 1.26% from a day low at $136.22 to a day high of $137.93. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.23% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -2.09 million shares and in total 19.79 million shares bought and sold for approximately $2 696.86 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the MSFT stock price was $139.54 and low was $132.53.
  • 90 day high was $139.54 and low was $119.01.
  • 52 week high for the Microsoft Corporation - $139.54 and low - $93.96.
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Microsoft Corporation lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.82% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $140.67 and $158.43 at the end of this period.

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Microsoft Corporation holds a sales signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $137.69. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $133.19. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sales signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday July 15, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 30 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 61 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.

Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $129.15 and $125.52.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft Corporation finds support just below today's level at $129.15. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $125.52 and $119.84.

Support: $129.15 Price: $136.27 Resistance: $136.95


This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.71 (1.26%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.14%.

Our recommended stoploss: $129.99 (-4.61%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 2 days ago.)

1.14 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Hold/Accumulate Downgraded


Microsoft Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting for further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Hold/Accumulate.

The general sentiment holds a neutral evaluation of the stock right now. The sentiment is based upon 212 votes on StockTwits.

Previous Hold Today MSFT ranks #2404 as HOLD CANDIDATE #2404 Next Hold

Will MSFT stock price go up or down on Fri, 19 Jul 2019?

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