Microsoft Stock Forecast

Weaker technical forecast for Microsoft as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)

MSFT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $423.30 and $417.70. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.66%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $408.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $13.39 between high and low, or 3.24%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.73%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $417.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $406.42 and $420.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.22 (+/-1.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $414.05 (0.10%) than the support at $408.59 (1.22%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?

The Microsoft stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Microsoft will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.463 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Tuesday, April 16, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.