Thursday November 14, 2019 Change 0.00% Price $147.31
Your prediction: Prediction: Request
VOLUME
Sell
TREND
Buy
MV LONG
Buy

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Sell

MACD
Buy
Bullish vs. Bearish (200 opinions)
89%
11%
Social Sentiment 0.15

MSFT Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis


Buy candidate since 2019-11-14 PDF

No changes to the price of Microsoft Corporation in the last trading day ( Thursday, 14th Nov 2019 ). During the day the stock fluctuated 0.00% from a day low at $147.31 to a day high of $147.31. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.75% over the past 2 weeks.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the MSFT stock price was $147.57 and low was $135.61.
  • 90 day high was $147.57 and low was $132.80.
  • 52 week high for Microsoft Corporation - $147.57 and low - $93.96.
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Trend

Microsoft Corporation lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $147.45 will firstly indicate a stronger raising rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.52% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $147.82 and $157.06 at the end of this period.

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Signals

Microsoft Corporation holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $146.01 and $140.97. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday November 13, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

The stock had a Golden Star Signal* on Tuesday December 11, 2018 in the medium-term chart.

* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 30 - 75 ]

The stock holds a RSI14 at 76 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.

* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $138.12 and $137.52.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft Corporation finds support just below today's level at $138.12. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $137.52 and $133.39.

Support: $138.12 Price: $147.31

Risk

This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.00 between high and low, or 0.00%. For the last week the stock has had a daily average volatility of 0.91%.

The stock is overbought on RSI14 and the RSI has been falling for the last couple of days. This together with the fact that the stock is in the upper part of the trend poses a possible good selling opportunity for the short-term trader. However, one should note that some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $142.18 (-3.48%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 day(s) ago.)

0.91 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Upgraded

Evaluation

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy Candidate.

The general sentiment holds a neutral evaluation of the stock right now. The sentiment is based upon 200 votes on StockTwits.

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