Novavax Earnings Calls
| Release date | May 06, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.250 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0600 |
| EPS Surprise | 76.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 79.806M |
| Revenue actual | 139.514M |
| Revenue Surprise | 74.82% |
| Release date | Feb 26, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.660 |
| EPS actual | $0.110 |
| EPS Surprise | 116.67% |
| Revenue estimate | 89.847M |
| Revenue actual | 147.139M |
| Revenue Surprise | 63.77% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$1.08 |
| EPS actual | -$0.620 |
| EPS Surprise | 42.59% |
| Revenue estimate | 90.258M |
| Revenue actual | 70.445M |
| Revenue Surprise | -21.95% |
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0700 |
| EPS actual | $0.620 |
| EPS Surprise | 985.71% |
| Revenue estimate | 55.63M |
| Revenue actual | 239.24M |
| Revenue Surprise | 330.06% |
Last 4 Quarters for Novavax
Below you can see how NVAX performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $7.58 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0700 |
| EPS actual | $0.620 |
| EPS surprise | 985.71% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | $6.65 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $6.56 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $6.75 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $6.73 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $7.58 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $8.78 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $8.37 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $8.03 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $8.48 |
| 4 days before | 13.98% |
| 4 days after | 11.87% |
| On release day | 15.83% |
| Change in period | 27.52% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $7.59 |
| EPS estimate | -$1.08 |
| EPS actual | -$0.620 |
| EPS surprise | 42.59% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | $8.40 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $7.91 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $7.51 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $7.69 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $7.59 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $7.44 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $7.11 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $7.44 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $7.20 |
| 4 days before | -9.64% |
| 4 days after | -5.14% |
| On release day | -1.98% |
| Change in period | -14.29% |
| Release date | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Price on release | $11.19 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.660 |
| EPS actual | $0.110 |
| EPS surprise | 116.67% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | $9.20 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $9.36 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $9.46 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $9.53 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $11.19 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $10.14 |
| Mar 02, 2026 | $10.11 |
| Mar 03, 2026 | $9.49 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | $9.89 |
| 4 days before | 21.63% |
| 4 days after | -11.62% |
| On release day | -9.38% |
| Change in period | 7.50% |
| Release date | May 06, 2026 |
| Price on release | $9.36 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.250 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0600 |
| EPS surprise | 76.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | $7.93 |
| May 01, 2026 | $8.04 |
| May 04, 2026 | $8.03 |
| May 05, 2026 | $8.10 |
| May 06, 2026 | $9.36 |
| May 07, 2026 | $9.23 |
| May 08, 2026 | $10.11 |
| May 11, 2026 | $9.50 |
| May 12, 2026 | $9.62 |
| 4 days before | 18.11% |
| 4 days after | 2.78% |
| On release day | -1.39% |
| Change in period | 21.39% |
Novavax Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Novavax is executing a strategic shift from being a standalone commercial vaccine company to a capital-efficient partner/technology provider focused on monetizing its Matrix‑M adjuvant via non‑exclusive licenses and material transfer agreements (MTAs). Key operational highlights: multiple MTAs and licensing relationships with large pharma (4 of the top 10) and several smaller biotechs, including a January license with Pfizer (received $30M upfront; up to $250M milestones per product plus long‑term royalties) and significant prior monetization from Sanofi (>$800M to date). The company is prioritizing capital‑efficient R&D, retaining core in‑house capabilities, and advancing a prioritized in‑house C. difficile vaccine toward IND‑enabling studies with a potential clinic entry in 2027 based on encouraging preclinical data (including mucosal IgA and survival endpoints). Financials: Q1 2026 revenue was $140M (down vs. a 2025 quarter that included a large noncash APA recognition), but partner‑related supply sales and licensing/royalty revenue rose >100% YoY. Non‑GAAP combined R&D and SG&A were reduced ~23% YoY; GAAP net loss was $9M for the quarter. Novavax ended Q1 with $818M in cash and receivables, added $80M nondilutive cash (including the Pfizer upfront and a $50M draw on a credit facility), and believes it can fund operations into 2028 without assuming future partner payments. Guidance reiterated: 2026 adjusted total revenue framework $230–$270M (midpoint $250M), non‑GAAP combined R&D & SG&A guidance $310–$340M (2026). Longer‑term cost target refined to $150–$200M non‑GAAP combined R&D & SG&A for 2028. Additional supportive data: Sanofi’s COMPARE Phase IV showed Nuvaxovid had fewer side effects than Moderna’s next‑gen vaccine, which Novavax frames as favorable for partner and end‑user acceptance. Risks remain from execution, partner clinical/commercial success, regulatory approvals, and typical development uncertainties.
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