Apple Stock Forecast

Apple stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Mar 31, 2023)
On Friday, 31st Mar 2023, the Apple stock price increased 1.56%, going from $162.36 to $164.90. This marks the third consecutive day of gains. The stock fluctuated 1.91% throughout the day, with a low of $161.91 and a high of $165.00. Over the past 10 days, the price has risen in 7 of them, and has gone up by 6.39% in the last two weeks. On the last trading day, the volume of shares traded increased, with 19 million more shares than the day before. In total, 69 million shares were traded, amounting to $11.32 billion. It will be interesting to see if the stock continues to rise or takes a break in the coming days.
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The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $188.11 and $205.41 at the end of this 3-month period.
AAPL Signals & Forecast
The Apple stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $160.45 and $153.50. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, March 01, 2023, and so far it has risen 13.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Apple stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $154.50 and $150.82. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Apple finds support just below today's level at $154.50. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $150.82 and $125.07.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.09 between high and low, or 1.91%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $156.88 (-4.86%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AAPL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Apple Inc. to open at $163.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $161.63 and $168.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.27 (+/-1.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Apple Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $154.50, some $10.40 (6.31%) from the current price of $164.90, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Apple Inc. stock A Buy?
Apple holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Open Broker Account
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Hold/Accumulate DowngradedPredicted Opening Price for Apple Inc. of Monday, April 3, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Fair opening price April 3, 2023 | Current price |
---|---|
$163.94 | $164.90 (Overvalued) |
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Trading levels for AAPL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 167.03 | 1.29 % | |
R2 | 165.85 | 0.574 % | ||
R1 | 165.12 | 0.132 % | ||
Current price: | 164.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 162.76 | -1.30 % | |
S2 | 162.03 | -1.74 % | ||
S3 | 160.85 | -2.46 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 164.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 154.50 | -6.31% | |
S2 | 150.82 | -8.54% | ||
S3 | 125.07 | -24.15% |
FAQ
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About Apple Inc.
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. It also sells various related services. In addition, the company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; AirPods Max, an over-ear wireless headphone; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePo... AAPL Profile
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